Market Analysis | Best Stocks to Trade For Tomorrow with logic 13-Jan | Episode 668

Open your Trading account in mintues with Zerodha

I have a 2-car garage. There are nice shelves on one side and a good practical workbench with a vice on the other side. Plenty of room for 2 cars yet I have to be careful when I pull in so I won’t run over stuff stacked on each side. Sound familiar?

It looks like we have now entered a new bull phase in the stock market and I have a question for you. Will you give back the profits that you make this time as you did in 2000? You sure don’t want to, but you are not going to get any help from your broker.

An insane person cannot evaluate an insane evaluation system. As you know I have been trying to restore sanity to the insane premises Wall Street has been teaching its brokers and you for all these years. Their insanity has become so pervasive that it has become conventional wisdom. The brokerage houses have taught everyone to act insanely and to think that what they are doing is sane.

Intervention. Now don’t let that big word scare you. The talking heads on TV have been discussing it all week because the major banks of the world are going to “prop up” the Euro.

When most analysts, financial planners, fund specialists and investors try to decide whether to buy a particular stock they immediately go to the financial statements to determine the growth potential of the company. Numbers and more numbers. Then management analysis and industry speculation. Unless you are an experienced financial analyst (and there are not very many good ones) the numbers in the reported statements can be very misleading – just as the company Controller wants them to be.

Those who understand the cycle of fear, yes, that is what it is, do manage to control their emotions and do very well. At first the logical, thinking people realize that everything is in place for a long term bull market so they mine (buy) early. As they continue to become richer and richer others see their success and start staking claims. Even these later comers do well as the hoard descends upon the gold fields and the early birds are happy to accommodate them by selling them part or all of their claims (stocks and bullion).

Just about now everyone is confused as to which way the stock market is going to go – up or down. For the past 3 years it has been headed south, but the Wall Street experts have told us that the market never goes down 4 years in a row so this has to be an up year. But no guarantees.

As the man said, “I’ve got some good news and I’ve got some bad news. What do you want to hear first?” It was replied, “Tell me the good news first”. The good news is that they are going to make some changes in the mutual fund industry reporting to help the investor and the bad news is it isn’t going to make any difference in your bottom line.

Caught in a whirlpool and being sucked under. No life vest or other device to save you. Gurgle, gurgle. Down you go. This last couple of weeks in the stock market kinda feels like that whirlpool when you look at your financial statements.

You have decided to buy some stock or mutual funds, but wonder which one to buy. You need more information so you call your broker for advice. A so-called “full service” broker will bury you with all kinds of reports, analysis sheets and other pretty pieces of paper, but will probably try to sell you something that makes him the most commission.